The single biggest advantage in any presidential election or any election for that matter is when one party running is an incumbent. No matter what election laws and campaign rules are in place at the time those rules can never dampen the presidential bully pulpit, notoriety, or media coverage. A sitting president can be non stop 24/7 campaign whether on the stump or not.
Republicans can take solace and have confidence that in 2016 they don’t have to run against a sitting Barak Obama. Most are giddy with the thought that Hillary Clinton is so far the anointed contender for the 2016 election. As her polls fade under the scrutiny of Benghazi and other circumstances that call into question her qualifications and integrity things look better for a Republican candidate every day. It looks like an easy ride to the white house.
But what if they run an incumbent? What’s that you say? “But Obama can’t run again? Your right. Under current law he cant, and I don’t see anything coming that would change that. Enter Uncle Joe Biden.
Within the past few days the “chatter” about President Obama disregarding laws and changing laws to suit himself without congress has been growing. Even liberal voices are coming out with at least questionable concern over the presidents actions. The word “impeachment” is beginning to rumble from other venues outside the hard right and tea party types. This rumbling has caused me to give thought to the actual outcome which is self evident in the short term. But what would the long term look like and could removal of Obama actually advance the progressive agenda?
What we have to do is consider what would happen should enough support come within congress to impeach. It would still be at least a six month process. That amount of time would give opportunity for democrats facing difficult elections to migrate to a position of taking the high ground and standing for “rule of law” making them hero’s in the minds of their electorate. That would go a long way toward preserving a democrat majority in the senate as well as giving many house democrats cover so they can at least maintain the seats they have. They can take the position but never actually have to vote.
As the pressure of impeachment builds Barak Obama takes the same route as Richard Nixon. He boards Air Force One for the final trip to New York City and the United Nations. He will regret that the American people couldn’t understand his drive and enthusiasm for trying to do what was right and good for them and must bow to their wishes. Before he lands President Joe Biden pardons him for any “perceived” crimes. Barak Obama great leader and superior intellect that he is took one on the chin for the team. Name, retirement, and secret service protection in tact. He has performed the puppet masters thuggery admirably.
Now the two year incumbent candidate is in place. The ultimate puppet. You don’t have to wonder what his approximate two year incumbency would look like. The word “triangulation” comes to mind. The phrase coined for the Clinton administration after it got in trouble. Seeming like the kinder gentler more moderate democrat. He may do nice things like approve an oil pipeline, or make an honest attempt at an agreeable budget. Maybe admit that a contraceptive mandate is unconstitutional or evolve on 2nd amendment rights. All the while quietly protecting the base agenda. Wow for two years we have had a reasonable president that can work with congress and get things done. He needs four more years to finish what he started. Or is it eight years for a total of ten? Sure you will say that Biden isn’t smart enough. Do you seriously think Obama is smart enough to pull of what he has? He doesn’t have to be. There’s plenty of help.
Obama will not be pressured by impeachment to do the right thing because that would be admitting that their policies are wrong. They don’t need to keep Obama. He’s just a face. A mask that doesn’t work any more. They need only remove the mask and reveal the mask under it.
What would be worse? A semi neutered Obama with a republican congress for three years or a split or possibly democrat congress and a progressive president for ten years? That’s the call when we decide about impeachment.